“I don’t even think the election is going to take place,” one Nepali told me. Two other Nepalis, instead, decisively said, “It is going to happen. And let me tell you- the Maoists are going to win.”
Wildly contrasting forecasts made for a very confusing and occasionally gloomy time in Nepal; there was an an uneasy, mixed atmosphere of both cynicism and optimism. Some people thought the
Constituent Assembly election- which will entrust the incoming government with rewriting the constitution, of which the first step is to abolish the monarchy and officially declare Nepal a secular republic, heralding a new era of democracy- wasn’t even going to take place. After all, they had been delayed twice. Then, voices whispered that the now deposed King Gyanendra- who threw out the elected government in 2002 and then took total control in February 2005 until the democratic movement in April 2006 ended monarchic rule and placed the army under civilian control- was devising some devious plot to thwart the elections. Perhaps, these rumors went, he would incite violence from behind the scenes and accuse the candidates as culprits; people would then be too fearful, distrustful, or disillusioned with the voting process.
But Nepalis continue to surprise all.
Elections did indeed take place, and the outcome has caught everyone off-guard. High voter turnout was unexpected too. Fear of violence on election day caused many to assume that voters would lock themselves in their houses and would not dare go to the polling stations. Again, wrong. Voter turnout was around 67 percent. Most voters hit the polls early in the day (partly because of wanting to avoid long lines and the oppressive heat in the afternoon, see my photo above), but there is no doubt that Nepalis enthusiastically participated and waited with bated breath. Everyone was glued to their TV sets (those who were not experiencing load-shedding, that is), and as the results rolled in, large demonstrations spontaneously erupted in the streets of Kathmandu, and proud voters waved the red sickle and hammer flags.

Political commentators, ordinary Nepalis, journalists, and observers were stunned when the first votes were being counted and the Maoists were leading by such a large margin. Now, that lead has gotten smaller. So far, they have won 117 seats out of 240 as they squeezed the 74 registered parties, of which the royalist Rashtriya Prajatantra Party, the by now stagnant and redundant Nepali Congress, the bland UML whose platform rode on the Maoists’ tales, and the ethnic-based Madhesi Janadhikar Forum. They won’t capture an absolute majority, but they have emerged as the largest party. The fact that the elites especially were surprised just shows how woefully they were out of touch with people’s aspirations.
The most unlikely people voted for them. I asked one middle class, Bahoun (Brahmin) woman who she cast her vote in favor of. “The Maoists,” she said resolutely.
Let’s see what they can do. Desi Italiana, the king didn’t do anything for us. People have gotten poorer and poorer. Peasants are increasingly slipping into poverty. The people in the countryside have been neglected. And Kathmandu wasn’t like the way it is right now 15 years ago. They seem to have a plan, and if they can push through with it, we will be all for the better. So far, they have done what they say they are going to do.
Another young man from the Tarai, who could not vote because his residency is in Biratnagar while he lives in Kathmandu, passionately prayed that the Maoists would win:
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